Wikinvest Wire

Friday, January 11, 2013

The Herbalife Distraction

If you watch stock market TV, look at finance websites or are involved with Twitter and Stocktwits then you know something is brewing at Herbalife (HLF). Noted hedge fund manager Bill Ackman has a very loud short position claiming that the company is a pyramid scheme and that the stock will go to zero.

Then noted hedge fund manager Dan Loeb came out saying that Ackman has not brought any new information to the table, that he sees Herbalife much differently than Ackman and is long. Carl Icahn is also reported to have gotten long the stock.

In something of a bizarre coincidence Herb Greenberg from CNBC has spent the last nine or ten months putting together a documentary on Herbalife and if I understand correctly it has just been finished in the last few days and the network has been airing bits and pieces of it all week.

More often than not I have CNBC on during the stock market day paying attention when something worth paying attention to comes on. While I am not fully versed in the HLF story it is fun to watch. It seems like there is some new development every few hours. It is relatively salacious and it is entertaining and there is nothing wrong with being entertained by a juicy story.


While it is entertaining it is crucial to understand that for more than 99% of market participants it is also a carnival complete with people guessing people's weight or barking for the Yak Woman (this is a reference to the movie Christmas vacation that obviously has stayed with me).

As much attention as HLF is getting now this will fade to the point of most people saying something like "oh yeah, the Herbalife thing, when was that again?" This type of thing tends to incite speculation in people who should not be speculating on this type seemingly binary of outcome.

If your objective is simply trying to have enough money for when you need it then feel free to grab the popcorn and watch but keep your wallet in your pocket.

3 comments:

Steve Craven said...

I recommend paying attention to whatever Herb Greenberg says. Nobody is perfect, but Herb is one of the best financial forensics guys out there and I have learned to run away from stocks that he has doubts about. Doing so has saved me a bundle over the years.

Roger Nusbaum said...

hey Stave, aloha, how've you been?

Roger Nusbaum said...

Steve, not Stave

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