Large account are ones where we believe using mostly individual stocks is suitable. This is usually a function of account size. If there were no trading costs then we could put 40 positions into any sized account. In mid sized accounts we still build the portfolio at the sector level using mostly ETFs but include a small number of individual stocks and with small accounts we use mostly broad based funds in an effort to capture weightings to foreign versus domestic, large cap versus small cap and defensive versus fully invested.
Part of our defensive approach for the mid sized accounts was to meaningfully reduce our exposure to the industrial sector. In the face of a bear market or recession industrial stocks are often one of the hardest hit sectors and reducing exposure to this sector is something we did in the large accounts also. Defensive action in this sector is a way to get more bang for your defensive buck by taking a lot of beta out of the portfolio.To put the exposure back on we bought the Industrial Sector SPDR (XLI). If my thesis about a range busting rally (followed by a retracement) actually happens then it is likely that industrial stocks will be one of the leading sectors and so we are slightly overweight the benchmark S&P 500.
In many instances XLI will not be the only industrial holding. Sorry if this is confusing but larger accounts within the mid sized tier may own the PowerShares Water ETF (PHO) and/or the iShares Emerging Market Infrastructure ETF (EMIF). The specific holdings in any account are dependent on the planning/screening process for new clients.
For small accounts our defensive strategy was to cut small cap exposure in half as similar to the industrial sector, small cap tends to feel bear markets more than large cap. We got defensive when we were still using Schwab as our custodian and so we used Schwab ETFs where applicable because they were commission free. At Ameritrade there are other commission free ETFs, a lot more than Schwab, and so we bought an iShares ETF that is commission free so clients have a split position for the same asset class.
For small and mid sized accounts I waited a little longer to re-equitize in hopes of minimizing the chance of getting whipsawed, and of course that could still happen and we'll deal with it then if that happens. But with the flirting back and forth between the SPX and its 200 DMA and then slow move above the 200 DMA I felt as though I could move a little slower.The CHL All Star Game was here in Prescott Valley last night including a visit from the Stanley Cup and Pete the Stanley Cup guy from the Peggy credit card commercial--Pete's real job is to be the keeper of the Cup. We sat right behind the Sun Dogs bench right on the glass (the format was the Arizona Sun Dogs versus all stars from the rest of the league.





9 comments:
Roger:
"Large account are ones where we believe using mostly individual stocks is suitable"
Can you please give additional rationale for this...thanks
I don't really follow you. I say below what you quoted that it is a function of size. The large portfolio is tpyically what I blog about what I believe is the best way to go in terms of blending narrow holding together to create the portfolio. This takes me about 30-40 holdings but that many holdings is not practical in a $100,000 account due to commission drag.
Interesting (or worriesome?) that you're talking about going back to 100% in the market around the same time as I am. Hahah. Anytime I see someone else doing what I'm doing I wonder if I'm on the wrong side of a trend!
moving in that direction, we are not there yet and may not get there, we'll see
Roger any change in your inclination towards financials, especially nonbanks like MA, V, MSCI. Will you consider going in once we stay above 200 DMA.
Thanks
11:18,
We have owned MSCI for a while but not the credit card companies. As far as the US banks they have been a good trade for the last week or two and there have been other good trades along the way but I have no faith in the fundamentals of the banks so we don't own any.
I might be wrong of course but I am not likely to buy a stock if I think the fundies stink.
The uncertainty in Europe and with the Eurozone seems to be causing huge anxiety in the background, and stocks seem to be getting whipsawed by this. In fact, IMHO, 2012 will be a year in which general geo-political and macro-economic events play a much larger role then they usually do. The emerging markets infrastructure idea is a good. With the EMs taking quite a veating last year, it seems in thoery they could outperform this year. Infrastructure or consumer is the best way to play EMs.
I used to follow hockey (Blackhawks) back in the day growing up in Chicago.
Except when they played Toronto, where my second cousin, Frank Mihavolich, played hall of fame calibre hockey and visited a few times to eat and meet and greet relatives.
Today, I don't think training tables would have permitted our ethnic delicacies.
T
Frank Mihavolich? Wow! that is very cool
Post a Comment