Wikinvest Wire

Monday, March 26, 2007

Not A Tell

I have been of the opinion since February 27 that there would be more volatility in the market and that while this could be the start of a multi month rolling over I would not expect action on one day to be particularly telling.

This may seem difficult to reconcile but what I mean, and have been saying, is that a fast move down is likely to retrace quickly as has been the case (partial retracement anyway). If the market is going to rollover slowly I would expect the number of big days to wane, the market to creep lower and for fewer people to be worried.

4 comments:

dave b said...

Headlines "Housing surprise sends stocks tumbling." Just who are they speaking of that was surprised?

I'm overweight in PM and Oil-related, and they have been doing well. Reducing risk and favoring large cap. The Iran issue will keep oil high until we enter hurricane season, IMHO. It's forecast to be a severe 'cane year.

Added some DNH and FCX today for a little more stability, PWE and BPT last week for the divs. EXC chart looks tempting.

Knock 'em dead on Fast Money, Roger!

Anonymous said...

That's a coincidence. I just bought PWE today as well.

charlie at the lake said...

Thanks for reminding us that bull markets end over a long period of time and that one day does not a retirement make. In 2000, some tenants of mine were waiting for their good fortune in the market to return, as their full service broker had promised. I was not invested, or paying attention at the time, but it was abundantly clear from the nightly news that the bull was dead and buried. I now try to remember that it's the non-financial paper headlines that make the big conclusions simple without the two handed economists.

T said...

Sometimes the most appropriate investment presents itself out of the ashes of hysteric media newsprint, internet angst or perhaps a drop or two of blood in the streets.

There are excellent Class A real estate investment opportunities, both commercial and residential, for the diversified investor at this time.

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