Wikinvest Wire

Tuesday, November 14, 2006

Invest Like A Turtle?

I stumbled across a blog called Money Turtle. It is written by an anonymous GenXer in Boston and focuses, he says, on life sciences investing. It seems to me that he covers more ground than that however. His posts seem short (in a good way), easy to read and impart a knowledge of the subject. You can decide for yourself whether the site offers an utility or not.

The reason for the post is how brilliant the blog's name is, I assume it is a play on the tortoise and the hare. We all know that slow and steady won that race. I think slow and steady wins the investment race too, assuming you have saved properly.

This speaks to the idea of capturing most of the market with less volatility that I have written about previously and which I think is very important. While I am not a behavioral finance expert there are many studies that show the pain from losses has greater impact than the joy of gains. This makes a compelling case for less volatility in your portfolio.

When I think of investing like a turtle I think of dividends. If it were possible to get a 6% yield with only 3%-4% of price appreciation in most years I think I might take it (here I am talking about my own portfolio). While is not a realistic combo it makes the point and I do think 3%-4% in yield is close to happening with some of the 5% yielders out there or on the way.

Two years from now I think it will be possible to build a diversified portfolio of a dozen ETFs with a lot of yield and a standard deviation of maybe 2/3 of the broad market to create the turtle effect I am talking about. Further, investors who are so inclined could then layer in a few narrow themes (stocks, funds, whatever) to add a little more growth potential.

I think this is huge for do-it-yourselfers I just hope there are more than a couple of people exploring this.

5 comments:

Anonymous said...

Your ytd performance is very good, I think. Better than my own, though I am operating with only 50-75% equities but much more STRESS. I use your performance as a benchmark. Now, when are you going to start that premium newsletter? You've got my attention, though I know that this is not your intent. Your post today sounds a lot like what some have called "active index investing". ETFs, very diversified and relatively long term holdings, are used as the core and stocks & alternative approahces are used as satellite holdings to enchance performance. Tortise with some hare.

Anonymous said...

AINV and FCF.

Anonymous said...

Why two years from now? Are you expecting a major correction in o7 or are you waiting for even more etf's?

Roger Nusbaum said...

two years from now is a comment on more choice.

Anonymous said...

Thanks for clearing that up. I'm one of those people who is looking at that route, seems like there is a lot of choice even right now. Cheers.

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